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Molecular Manufacturing: Too Dangerous to Allow?
Despite the risks of molecular manufacturing, such as global ecophagy, replication is not new. Engineered self-replication technologies are already in wide commercial use and can be made inherently safe. And defenses we've already developed against harmful biological replicators all have analogs in the mechanical world that should provide equally effective, or even superior, defenses.
Originally published in Nanotechnology
Perceptions: A Review of Ultraprecision Engineering and Nanotechnology,
Volume 2, No. 1, March 27, 2006. Reprinted with permission on KurzweilAI.net,
March 27, 2006.
One common argument against pursuing a molecular assembler or nanofactory
design effort is that the end results are too dangerous. According
to this argument [2, 3], any researh into molecular manufacturing
(MM) should be blocked because this technology might be used to
build systems that could cause extraordinary damage. The kinds of
concerns that nanoweapons systems might create have been discussed
elsewhere, in both the nonfictional [4-6] and fictional [7] literature.
Perhaps the earliest-recognized and best-known danger of molecular
manufacturing [.1] is the risk that
self-replicating nanorobots capable of functioning autonomously
in the natural environment could quickly convert that natural environment
(e.g., "biomass") into replicas of themselves (e.g., "nanomass")
on a global basis, a scenario often referred to as the "gray goo
problem" but more accurately termed "global ecophagy" [4]. As Drexler
first warned in Engines of Creation in 1986 [8]:
"Plants" with "leaves" no more efficient than today's
solar cells could out-compete real plants, crowding the biosphere
with an inedible foliage. Tough omnivorous "bacteria" could out-compete
real bacteria: They could spread like blowing pollen, replicate
swiftly, and reduce the biosphere to dust in a matter of days. Dangerous
replicators could easily be too tough, small, and rapidly spreading
to stop—at least if we make no preparation.... We cannot afford
certain kinds of accidents with replicating assemblers.
Such self-replicating systems, if not countered, could make the
earth largely uninhabitable [4, 7-9]—concerns that motivated
the drafting of the Foresight Guidelines for the safe development
of nanotechnology [10]. But, as the Center for Responsible Nanotechnology
explains [5], (reference annotations added):
Gray goo would entail five capabilities integrated into one small
package. These capabilities are: Mobility—the ability
to travel through the environment; Shell—a thin but
effective barrier to keep out diverse chemicals and ultraviolet
light; Control—a complete set of blueprints and the
computers to interpret them (even working at the nanoscale, this
will take significant space); Metabolism—breaking
down random chemicals into simple feedstock; and Fabrication—turning
feedstock into nanosystems. A nanofactory would use tiny fabricators,
but these would be inert if removed or unplugged from the factory.
The rest of the listed requirements would require substantial
engineering and integration [4].
Although gray goo has essentially no military and no commercial
value, and only limited terrorist value, it could be used as a
tool for blackmail. Cleaning up a single gray goo outbreak would
be quite expensive and might require severe physical disruption
of the area of the outbreak (atmospheric and oceanic goos [4]
deserve special concern for this reason). Another possible source
of gray goo release is irresponsible hobbyists. The challenge
of creating and releasing a self-replicating entity apparently
is irresistible to a certain personality type, as shown by the
large number of computer viruses and worms in existence. We probably
cannot tolerate a community of "script kiddies" [11] releasing
many modified versions of goo.
Development and use of molecular manufacturing poses absolutely
no risk of creating gray goo by accident at any point. However,
goo type systems do not appear to be ruled out by the laws of
physics, and we cannot ignore the possibility that the five stated
requirements could be combined deliberately at some point, in
a device small enough that cleanup would be costly and difficult.
Drexler's 1986 statement can therefore be updated: We cannot afford
criminally irresponsible misuse of powerful technologies. Having
lived with the threat of nuclear weapons for half a century, we
already know that.
Attempts to block or "relinquish" [3, 12] molecular manufacturing
research will make the world a more, not less, dangerous place [13].
This paradoxical conclusion is founded on two premises. First, attempts
to block the research will fail. Second, such attempts will preferentially
block or slow the development of defensive measures by responsible
groups. One of the clear conclusions reached by Freitas [4] was
that effective countermeasures against self-replicating systems
should be feasible, but will require significant effort to develop
and deploy. (Nanotechnology critic Bill Joy, responding to this
author, complained in late 2000 that any nanoshield defense to protect
against global ecophagy "appears to be so outlandishly dangerous
that I can't imagine we would attempt to deploy it." [12]) But blocking
the development of defensive systems would simply insure that offensive
systems, once deployed, would achieve their intended objective in
the absence of effective countermeasures. James Hughes [13] concurs:
"The only safe and feasible approach to the dangers of emerging
technology is to build the social and scientific infrastructure
to monitor, regulate and respond to their threats."
We can reasonably conclude that blocking the development of defensive
systems would be an extraordinarily bad idea. Actively encouraging
rapid development of defensive systems by responsible groups while
simultaneously slowing or hindering development and deployment by
less responsible groups ("nations of concern") would seem to be
a more attractive strategy, and is supported by the Foresight Guidelines
[10]. As even nanotechnology critic Bill Joy [14] finally admitted
in late 2003: "These technologies won't stop themselves, so we need
to do whatever we can to give the good guys a head start."
While a 100% effective ban against development might theoretically
be effective at avoiding the potential adverse consequences, blocking
all groups for all time does not appear to be a feasible goal. The
attempt would strip us of defenses against attack, increasing rather
than decreasing the risks. In addition, blocking development would
insure that the substantial economic, environmental, and medical
benefits [15] of this new technology would not be available.
Observes Glenn Reynolds [16]:
To the extent that such efforts [to ban all development] succeed,
the cure may be worse than the disease. In 1875, Great Britain,
then the world's sole superpower, was sufficiently concerned about
the dangers of the new technology of high explosives that it passed
an act barring all private experimentation in explosives and rocketry.
The result was that German missiles bombarded London rather than
the other way around. Similarly, efforts to control nanotechnology,
biotechnology or artificial intelligence are more likely to drive
research underground (often under covert government sponsorship,
regardless of international agreement) than they are to prevent
research entirely. The research would be conducted by unaccountable
scientists, often in rogue regimes, and often under inadequate
safety precautions. Meanwhile, legitimate research that might
cure disease or solve important environmental problems would suffer.
Finally, and as explained elsewhere [17], it is well-known [18]
that self-replication activities, as distinct from the inherent
capacity for self-replication, are not strictly required
to achieve the anticipated broad benefits of molecular manufacturing.
By restricting the capabilities of nanomanufacturing systems simultaneously
along multiple design dimensions such as control autonomy (A1),
nutrition (E4), mobility (E10), immutability (L3, L4), etc. [19],
molecular manufacturing systems—whether microscale or macroscale—can
be made inherently safe.
As Phoenix and Drexler [20] noted in a 2004 paper:
In 1959, Richard Feynman pointed out that nanometer-scale machines
could be built and operated, and that the precision inherent in
molecular construction would make it easy to build multiple identical
copies. This raised the possibility of exponential manufacturing,
in which production systems could rapidly and cheaply increase
their productive capacity, which in turn suggested the possibility
of destructive runaway self-replication. Early proposals for artificial
nanomachinery focused on small self-replicating machines, discussing
their potential productivity and their potential destructiveness
if abused.... [But] nanotechnology-based fabrication can be thoroughly
non-biological and inherently safe: such systems need have no
ability to move about, use natural resources, or undergo incremental
mutation. Moreover, self-replication is unnecessary: the development
and use of highly productive systems of nanomachinery (nanofactories)
need not involve the construction of autonomous self-replicating
nanomachines.... Although advanced nanotechnologies could (with
great difficulty and little incentive) be used to build such devices,
other concerns present greater problems. Since weapon systems
will be both easier to build and more likely to draw investment,
the potential for dangerous systems is best considered in the
context of military competition and arms control.
Of course, it must be conceded that while nanotechnology-based
manufacturing systems can be made safe, they also could be made
dangerous. Just because free-range self-replicators may be "undesirable,
inefficient and unnecessary" [20] does not imply that they cannot
be built, or that nobody will build them. How can we avoid "throwing
out the baby with the bathwater"? The correct solution, first explicitly
proposed by Freitas in 2000 [21] and later partially echoed by Phoenix
and Drexler in 2004, [22] starts with a carefully targeted moratorium
or outright legal ban on the most dangerous kinds of nanomanufacturing
systems, while still allowing the safe kinds of nanomanufacturing
systems to be built—subject to appropriate monitoring and regulation
commensurate with the lesser risk that they pose.
Virtually every known technology comes in "safe" and "dangerous"
flavors which necessarily must receive different legal treatment.
For example, over-the-counter drugs are the safest and most difficult
to abuse, hence are lightly regulated; prescription drugs, more
easy to abuse, are very heavily regulated; and other drugs, typically
addictive narcotics and other recreational substances, are legally
banned from use by anyone, even for medicinal purposes. Artificial
chemicals can range from lightly regulated household substances
such as Clorox or ammonia; to more heavily regulated compounds such
as pesticides, solvents and acids; to the most dangerous chemicals
such as chemical warfare agents which are banned outright by international
treaties. Another example is pyrotechnics, which range from highway
flares, which are safe enough to be purchased and used by anyone;
to "safe and sane" fireworks, which are lightly regulated but still
available to all; to moderately-regulated firecrackers and model
rocketry; to minor explosives and skyrockets, which in most states
can be legally obtained and used only by licensed professionals
who are heavily regulated; to high-yield plastic explosives, which
are legally accessible only to military specialists; to nuclear
explosives, the possession of which is strictly limited to a handful
of nations via international treaties, enforced by an international
inspection agency. Yet another example is aeronautics technology,
which ranges from safe unregulated kites and paper airplanes; to
lightly regulated powered model airplanes operated by remote control;
to moderately regulated civilian aircraft, both small and large;
to heavily regulated military attack aircraft such as jet fighters
and bombers, which can only be purchased by approved governments;
to intercontinental ballistic missiles, the possession of which
is strictly limited to a handful of nations via international treaties.
Note that in all cases, the existence of a "safe" version of a
technology does not preclude the existence of a "dangerous" version,
and vice versa. The laws of physics permit both versions to exist.
The most rational societal response has been to classify the various
applications according to the risk of accident or abuse that each
one poses, and then to regulate each application accordingly. The
societal response to the tools and products of molecular manufacturing
will be no different. Some MM-based tools and products will be deemed
safe, and will be lightly regulated. Other MM-based tools and products
will be deemed dangerous, and will be heavily regulated, or even
legally banned in some cases.
Of course, the mere existence of legal restrictions or outright
bans does not preclude the acquisition and abuse of a particular
technology by a small criminal fraction of the population. For instance,
in the high-risk category, drug abusers obtain and inject themselves
with banned narcotics; outlaw regimes employ prohibited poison chemicals
in warfare; and rogue nations seek to enter the "nuclear club" via
clandestine atomic bomb development programs. Bad actors such as
terrorists can also abuse less-heavily regulated products such as
fully-automatic rifles or civilian airplanes (which are hijacked
and flown into buildings). The most constructive response to this
class of threat is to increase monitoring efforts to improve early
detection and to pre-position defensive instrumentalities capable
of responding rapidly to these abuses, as recommended in 2000 by
this author [4] in the context of molecular manufacturing.
The risk of accident or malfunction is less problematic for new
technologies than the dangers of abuse. Engineers generally try
to design products that work reliably and companies generally seek
to sell reliable products to maintain customer goodwill and to avoid
expensive product liability lawsuits. But accidents do happen. Here
again, our social system has established a set of progressive responses
to deal efficiently with this problem. A good example is the ancient
technology of fire. The uses of fire are widespread in society,
ranging from lightly-regulated matchsticks, butane lighters, campfires,
and internal combustion engines, to more heavily regulated home
HVAC furnaces, municipal incinerators and industrial smelters. A
range of methods are available to deal quickly and effectively with
a fire that has accidentally escaped the control of its user. Home
fires due to a smoldering cigarette or a blazing grease pan in the
kitchen are readily doused using a common household fire extinguisher.
Fires in commercial buildings (e.g., hotels) or industrial buildings
(e.g., factories) are automatically quenched by overhead sprinkler
systems. When these methods prove insufficient to snuff out the
flames, the local fire department is called in to limit the damage
to just a single building, using fire trucks, water hoses and hydrants.
If many buildings are involved, more extensive fire suppression
equipment and hundreds of firefighters can be brought in from all
across town to hold the damage to a single city block. In the case
of the largest accidental fires, like forest fires, vast quantities
of heavy equipment are deployed including thousands of firefighters
wielding specialized tools, bulldozers to dig firebreaks, helicopters
with pendulous water buckets, and great fleets of air tankers dropping
tons of fire retardants. (These progressive measures also protect
the public in cases of deliberate arson.) The future emergency response
hierarchy for dealing with MM-based accidents will be no less exhaustive
and may be equally effective in preserving human life and property,
while allowing us to enjoy the innumerable benefits of this new
technology. Notes Steen Rasmussen of Los Alamos National Laboratory
in New Mexico: "The more powerful technology you unleash, the more
careful you have to be." [23]
The study of the ethical [24], socioeconomic [25-28] and legal
[29] impact of replication-capable machines such as molecular assemblers
and machines such as nanofactories that could build replicators
is still in its earliest stages, and there is additional discussion
of safety issues elsewhere [30]. However, two important general
observations about replicators and self-replication should be noted
here.
First, replication is nothing new. Humanity has thousands,
arguably even millions, of years of experience living with entities
that are capable of kinematic self-replication. These replicators
range from the macroscale (e.g., insects, birds, horses, other humans)
on down to the microscale (e.g. bacteria, protozoa) and even the
nanoscale (e.g., prions, viruses). As a species, we have successfully
managed the eternal tradeoff between risk and reward, and have successfully
negotiated the antipodes of danger and progress. There is every
reason to expect this success to continue. (As shown by the problem
of invasive species, the biosphere requires time to adapt to new
replicators, so human intervention may be required to prevent severe
damage.)
The technologies of engineered self-replication, even at the microscale,
are already in wide commercial use throughout the world. Indeed,
human civilization is utterly dependent on self-replication technologies.
Many important foods including beer, wine, cheese, yogurt, and kefir
(a fermented milk), along with various flavors, nutrients, vitamins
and other food ingredients, are produced by specially cultured microscopic
replicators such as algae, fungi (yeasts) and bacteria. Virtually
all of the rest of our food is made by macroscale replicators such
as agricultural crop plants, trees, and farm animals. Many of our
most important drugs are produced using microscopic self-replicators—from
penicillin produced by natural replicating molds starting in the
1940s [15] to the first use of artificial (engineered) self-replicating
bacteria to manufacture human insulin by Eli Lilly in 1982 [31].
These uses continue today in the manufacture of many other important
drug products such as: (a) human growth hormone (HGH) and erythropoietin
(EPO), (b) precursors for antibiotics such as erythromycin [32],
and (c) therapeutic proteins such as Factor VIII. A few species
of self-replicating bacteria are even used directly as therapeutic
medicines, such as the widely available swallowable pills containing
bacteria (i.e., natural biological nanomachines) for gastrointestinal
refloration, as for example SalivarexTM which "contains
a minimum of 2.9 billion beneficial bacteria per capsule" [33],
and AlkadophilusTM which "contains 1.5 billion organisms
per capsule" [34], both at a 2005 price of ~$(0.1-0.2) x 10-9
per microscale replicator (i.e., per bacterium). Some replicating
viruses, notably bacteriophages, are used as therapeutic agents
to combat and destroy unhealthful infectious bacterial replicators
[35], and for decades viruses have served as transfer vectors to
attempt gene therapies [36]. In industry, bacteria are already employed
as "self-replicating factories" [37] for various useful products,
and microorganisms are also used as workhorses for environmental
bioremediation [38, 39], biomining of heavy metals [40], and other
applications. In due course, we will learn to safely harness the
abilities of nonbiological replication-capable machines for human
benefit as well.
Second, replicators can be made inherently safe. An "inherently
safe" kinematic replicator is a replicating system that, by its
very design, is inherently incapable of surviving mutation or of
undergoing evolution (and thus evolving out of our control or developing
an independent agenda), and that, equally importantly, does not
compete with biology for resources (or worse, use biology as a raw
materials resource [4]). One primary route for ensuring inherent
safety is to combine the broadcast architecture for control [41]
and the vitamin architecture for materials [42], which together
eliminate the likelihood that the system can replicate outside of
a very controlled and highly artificial setting. There are numerous
other routes to this end [10, 19]. Many dozens of additional safeguards
may be incorporated into replicator designs to provide redundant
embedded controls and thus an arbitrarily low probability of replicator
malfunctions of various kinds, simply by selecting the appropriate
design parameters [19].
Artificial kinematic replication-capable systems which are not
inherently safe should not be designed or constructed, and indeed
should be legally prohibited by appropriate juridical and economic
sanctions, with these sanctions to be enforced in both national
and international regimes. In the case of individual lawbreakers
or rogue states that might build and deploy unsafe artificial mechanical
replicators, the defenses we have already developed against harmful
biological replicators all have analogs in the mechanical world
that should provide equally effective, or even superior, defenses.
Molecular manufacturing will make possible ever more sophisticated
methods of environmental monitoring, prophylaxis and safety. However,
advance planning and strategic foresight will be essential in maintaining
this advantage.
References and Footnotes
1. An earlier version of this essay appeared as portions of Sections
5.11 and 6.3.1 in: Robert A. Freitas Jr., Ralph C. Merkle, Kinematic
Self-Replicating Machines, Landes Bioscience, Georgetown TX,
2004, p. 199 and pp. 204-206; http://www.MolecularAssembler.com/KSRM/5.11.htm#p44
and http://www.MolecularAssembler.com/KSRM/6.3.1.htm.Copyright
2006 Robert A Freitas Jr.
2. Sean Howard, "Nanotechnology and mass destruction: The need
for an inner space treaty," Disarmament Diplomacy 65 (2002);
http://www.acronym.org.uk/dd/dd65/65op1.htm;
Lee-Anne Broadhead, Sean Howard, "The Heart of Darkness," Resurgence
#221, November/December 2003; http://resurgence.gn.apc.org/issues/broadhead221.htm.
3. Bill Joy, "Why the future doesn't need us," Wired 8(April
2000); http://www.wired.com/wired/archive/8.04/joy.html.
Response by Ralph Merkle, "Text of prepared comments by Ralph C.
Merkle at the April 1, 2000 Stanford Symposium organized by Douglas
Hofstadter," at: http://www.zyvex.com/nanotech/talks/stanford000401.html.
4. Robert A. Freitas Jr., "Some Limits to Global Ecophagy by Biovorous
Nanoreplicators, with Public Policy Recommendations," Zyvex preprint,
April 2000; http://www.rfreitas.com/Nano/Ecophagy.htm.
5. "Dangers of Molecular Manufacturing," Center for Responsible
Nanotechnology, 2004; http://crnano.org/dangers.htm.
6. K. Eric Drexler, "Chapter 11. Engines of Destruction," Engines
of Creation: The Coming Era of Nanotechnology, Anchor Press/Doubleday,
New York, 1986; http://www.foresight.org/EOC/EOC_Chapter_11.html.
Mark Avrum Gubrud, "Nanotechnology and international security,"
paper presented at the 5th Foresight Conference, November 1997;
http://www.foresight.org/Conferences/MNT05/Papers/Gubrud/.
Lev Navrozov, "Molecular nano weapons: Research in China and talk
in the West," NewsMax.com, 27 February 2004; http://www.newsmax.com/archives/articles/2004/2/27/101732.shtml.
Jurgen Altmann, "Military uses of nanotechnology: Perspectives and
concerns," Security Dialogue 35(March 2004):61-79. Ray Kurzweil,
The Singularity is Near: When Humans Transcend Biology, Penguin
Books, New York, 2005.
7. Michael Crichton, Prey, HarperCollins Publishers, New
York, 2002. Britt D. Gillette, Conquest of Paradise: An End-times
Nano-Thriller, Writers Club Press, New York, 2003. John Robert
Marlow, Nano, St. Martin's Press, New York, 2004.
8. K. Eric Drexler, Engines of Creation: The Coming Era of Nanotechnology,
Anchor Press/Doubleday, New York, 1986; http://www.foresight.org/EOC/
9. Philip K. Dick, "Second Variety," Space Science Fiction,
May 1953; also available in: Philip K. Dick, Second Variety and
Other Classic Stories by Philip K. Dick, Citadel Press, 1991.
Greg Bear, The Forge of God, Gollancz, New York, 1987; http://www.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Forge_of_God
(brief summary). Greg Bear, Anvil of Stars, Century, London,
U.K., 1992; http://postviews.editthispage.com/books/byTitle/AnvilOfStars
(review).
10. Foresight Institute, "Molecular Nanotechnology Guidelines:
Draft Version 3.7," 4 June 2000; http://www.foresight.org/guidelines/.
Extensive excerpt at: http://www.MolecularAssembler.com/KSRM/5.11.htm#p8.
11. According to cyberjournalist Clive Thompson [43], elite writers
of software viruses openly publish their code on Web sites, often
with detailed descriptions of how the program works, but don't actually
release them. The people who do release the viruses are often anonymous
mischief-makers, or "script kiddies"—a derisive term
for aspiring young hackers, "usually teenagers or curious college
students, who don't yet have the skill to program computers but
like to pretend they do. They download the viruses, claim to have
written them themselves and then set them free in an attempt to
assume the role of a fearsome digital menace. Script kiddies often
have only a dim idea of how the code works and little concern for
how a digital plague can rage out of control. Our modern virus epidemic
is thus born of a symbiotic relationship between the people smart
enough to write a virus and the people dumb enough—or malicious
enough—to spread it."
Thompson goes on to describe his early 2004 visit to an Austrian
programmer named Mario, who cheerfully announced that in 2003 he
had created, and placed online at his website, freely available,
a program called "Batch Trojan Generator" that autogenerates
malicious viruses. Thompson described a demonstration of this program:
"A little box appears on his laptop screen, politely asking
me to name my Trojan. I call it the 'Clive' virus. Then it asks
me what I'd like the virus to do. Shall the Trojan Horse format
drive C:? Yes, I click. Shall the Trojan Horse overwrite every file?
Yes. It asks me if I'd like to have the virus activate the next
time the computer is restarted, and I say yes again. Then it's done.
The generator spits out the virus onto Mario's hard drive, a tiny
3KB file. Mario's generator also displays a stern notice warning
that spreading your creation is illegal. The generator, he says,
is just for educational purposes, a way to help curious programmers
learn how Trojans work. But of course I could ignore that advice."
Apparently top "malware" writers do take some responsible
precautions, notes Thompson. For example, one hacker's "main
virus-writing computer at home has no Internet connection at all;
he has walled it off like an airlocked biological-weapons lab, so
that nothing can escape, even by accident." Some writers, after
finishing a new virus, "immediately e-mail a copy of it to
antivirus companies so the companies can program their software
to recognize and delete the virus should some script kiddie ever
release it into the wild."
12. Bill Joy, "Act now to keep new technologies out of destructive
hands," New Perspectives Quarterly 17(Summer 2000); http://www.pugwash.org/reports/pim/pim18.htm.
13. James R. Hughes, "Relinquishment or Regulation: Dealing with
Apocalyptic Technological Threats," Trinity College, Fall 2001;
http://www.changesurfer.com/Acad/RelReg.pdf.
14. Spencer Reiss, "Hope Is a Lousy Defense," Wired, December
2003; http://www.wired.com/wired/archive/11.12/billjoy_pr.html.
15. Robert A. Freitas Jr., Nanomedicine, Volume I: Basic Capabilities,
Landes Bioscience, Georgetown, TX, 1999; http://www.nanomedicine.com/NMI.htm.
Robert A. Freitas Jr., Nanomedicine, Volume IIA: Biocompatibility,
Landes Bioscience, Georgetown, TX, 2003; http://www.nanomedicine.com/NMIIA.htm.
Robert A. Freitas Jr., "Current Status of Nanomedicine and Medical
Nanorobotics (Invited Survey)," J. Comput. Theor. Nanosci. 2(March
2005):1-25; http://www.nanomedicine.com/Papers/NMRevMar05.pdf.
16. Glenn Harlan Reynolds "Techno Worries Miss the Target," SpeakOut.com,
8 June 2000; http://speakout.com/activism/opinions/5298-1.html.
17. Robert A. Freitas Jr., Ralph C. Merkle, Kinematic Self-Replicating
Machines, Landes Bioscience, Georgetown TX, 2004; Sections 3.13.2.2,
4.9.3, 4.14, 4.17, 4.19, 5.7, 5.9.4; http://www.MolecularAssembler.com/KSRM.htm.
18. K. Eric Drexler, Nanosystems: Molecular Machinery, Manufacturing,
and Computation, John Wiley & Sons, New York, 1992; http://www.zyvex.com/nanotech/nanosystems.html.
19. Robert A. Freitas Jr., Ralph C. Merkle, Kinematic Self-Replicating
Machines, Landes Bioscience, Georgetown TX, 2004, Section 5.1.9;
http://www.MolecularAssembler.com/KSRM/5.1.9.htm.
The notations (A1, etc.) refer to specific sections in the cited
literature.
20. Chris Phoenix, Eric Drexler, "Safe exponential manufacturing,"
Nanotechnology 15(2004):869-872; http://www.iop.org/EJ/news/-topic=763/journal/0957-4484.
See also: Paul Rincon, "Nanotech guru turns back on 'goo'," BBC
News Online UK Edition, 9 June 2004; http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci/tech/3788673.stm;
and Liz Kalaugher, "Drexler dubs 'grey goo' fears obsolete," Nanotechweb.org,
9 June 2004; http://www.nanotechweb.org/articles/society/3/6/1/1.
21. From Freitas (2000) [4]: "Specific public policy recommendations
suggested by the results of the present analysis include: (1) an
immediate international moratorium on all artificial life experiments
implemented as nonbiological hardware. In this context, 'artificial
life' is defined as autonomous foraging replicators, excluding purely
biological implementations (already covered by NIH guidelines tacitly
accepted worldwide) and also excluding software simulations which
are essential preparatory work and should continue. Alternative
'inherently safe' replication strategies such as the broadcast architecture
are already well-known...."
22. From Phoenix and Drexler (2004) [20]: "The construction of
anything resembling a dangerous self-replicating nanomachine can
and should be prohibited."
23. Ronald Kotulak, "Science on verge of new 'Creation': Labs say
they have nearly all the tools to make artificial life," Sun-Sentinel
Tribune, 28 March 2004; http://www.sun-sentinel.com/news/local/southflorida/chi-0403280359mar28,0,4395528.story?coll=sfla-home-headlines.
24. David S. Goodsell, Bionanotechnology: Lessons from Nature,
John Wiley & Sons, New York, 2004.
25. Robert A. Freitas Jr., William P. Gilbreath, eds., Advanced
Automation for Space Missions, NASA Conference Publication CP-2255
(N83-15348), 1982; http://www.islandone.org/MMSG/aasm
and Robert A. Freitas Jr., “Noninflationary Nanofactories,”
Nanotechnology Perceptions 2 (May 2006), http://www.rfreitas.com/Nano/NoninflationaryPN.pdf.
26. Murray Leinster, The Duplicators, Ace Books, New York,
1964; originally published as "The Lost Race," Thrilling Wonder
Stories, April 1949. Gerald D. Nordley, "On the socioeconomic
impact of smart self-replicating machines," CONTACT 2000,
NASA/Ames Research Center; http://www.contact-conference.com/archive/00.html.
27. V. Weil, "Ethical Issues in Nanotechnology," in M.C. Roco,
W.S. Bainbridge, eds., Societal Implications of Nanoscience and
Nanotechnology, Kluwer, Dordrecht, 2001, pp. 193-198. R.H. Smith,
"Social, Ethical, and Legal Implications of Nanotechnology," in
M.C. Roco, W.S. Bainbridge, eds., Societal Implications of Nanoscience
and Nanotechnology, Kluwer, Dordrecht, 2001, pp. 203-211. See
also http://itri.loyola.edu/nano/societalimpact/nanosi.pdf.
28. "Task Area 3: Problems of Self-replication, Risk, and Cascading
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30. Robert A. Freitas Jr., Ralph C. Merkle, Kinematic Self-Replicating
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2.3.6, 5.1.9(L), 6.3.1, 6.4.4; http://www.MolecularAssembler.com/KSRM.htm.
31. "Milestones in Medical Research," Eli Lilly; http://www.lilly.com/about/milestones.html.
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34. "Alkadophilus: The Non-Refrigerated Acidophilus," at: http://www.morter.com/HTML-FILES/ALKAdophilus.HTM,
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by genetic engineering was a greatly enhanced oil-eating microbe.
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General Electric Company in 1981 and was initially welcomed as an
answer to the world's petroleum pollution problem. But anxieties
about releasing 'mutant bacteria' soon led the U.S. Congress and
the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) to prohibit the use of
genetically engineered microbes outside of sealed laboratories.
The prohibition set back bioremediation for a few years, until scientists
developed improved forms of oil-eating bacteria without using genetic
engineering. After large-scale field tests in 1988, the EPA reported
that bioremediation eliminated both soil and water-borne oil contamination
at about one-fifth the cost of previous methods. Since then, bioremediation
has been increasingly used to clean up oil pollution on government
sites across the United States."
39. P. Kotrba, L. Doleckova, V. de Lorenzo, T. Ruml, "Enhanced
bioaccumulation of heavy metal ions by bacterial cells due to surface
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of Escherichia coli for enhanced uptake and bioaccumulation of mercury,"
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X. Deng, Q.B. Li, Y.H. Lu, D.H. Sun, Y.L. Huang, X.R. Chen, "Bioaccumulation
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41. Robert A. Freitas Jr., Ralph C. Merkle, Kinematic Self-Replicating
Machines, Landes Bioscience, Georgetown TX, 2004, Section 4.11.3.3;
http://www.MolecularAssembler.com/KSRM/4.11.3.3.htm.
42. Robert A. Freitas Jr., Ralph C. Merkle, Kinematic Self-Replicating
Machines, Landes Bioscience, Georgetown TX, 2004, Section 4.3.7;
http://www.MolecularAssembler.com/KSRM/4.3.7.htm.
43. Clive Thompson, "The Virus Underground," The New York Times,
8 February 2004; http://www.nytimes.com/2004/02/08/magazine/08WORMS.html.
44. Joseph Henry Press, "Chapter 5. Biotechnology and the Environment,"
Biotechnology Unzipped: Promises and Realities, National
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45. Ananda M. Chakrabarty, "Microorganisms having multiple compatible
degradative energy-generating plasmids and preparation thereof,"
United
States Patent No. 4,259,444, 31 March 1981; Ananda M. Chakrabarty,
Scott T. Kellogg, 'Bacteria capable of dissimilation of environmentally
persistent chemical compounds,' United
States Patent No. 4,535,061, 13 August 1985.
© 2006 Robert A. Freitas, Jr.
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