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The Age of Intelligent Machines: The Social Impact of Artificial Intelligence
Is artificial intelligence in human society a utopian dream or a Faustian nightmare? Will our descendants honor us for making machines do things that human minds do or berate us for irresponsibility and hubris? In this chapter from The Age of Intelligent Machines (published in 1990), Margaret A. Boden explores the potential impacts of artificial intelligence on society.
Is artificial intelligence in human society a utopian dream or a Faustian nightmare? Will our descendants honor us for making machines do things that human minds do or berate us for irresponsibility and hubris? Either of these judgments might be made of us, for like most human projects this infant technology is ambivalent. Just which aspects of its potential are realized will depend largely on social and political factors. Although these are not wholly subject to deliberate control, they can be influenced by human choice and public opinion. If future generations are to have reason to thank us rather than to curse us, it's important that the public (and politicians) of today should know as much as possible about the potential effects-for good or ill-of artificial intelligence (AI).
What are some of the potential advantages of AI? Clearly, AI can make knowledge more widely available. We shall certainly see a wide variety of expert systems: for aiding medical diagnosis and prescription, for helping scientists, lawyers, welfare advisers, and other professionals, and for providing people with information and suggestions for solving problems in the privacy of their homes. Educational expert systems include interactive programs that can help students (schoolchildren or adults, such as medical students) to familiarize themselves with some established domain. This would give us much more than a set of useful tools and educational cribs. In virtue of its applications in the communication and exploration of knowledge, AI could revolutionize our capacity for creativity and problem solving, much as the invention of printing did.
One advantage of having computers in the schoolroom and elsewhere is that they are not human. Precisely because they are not, they will not be bored by their human user's questions, nor scorn their user's mistakes, as another person might. The user may be ignorant, stupid, or naive, but the computer will not think so. Moreover, what looks like ignorance, stupidity, or naivete is often a sort of exploratory playing around with ideas that is the essence of learning and of creativity. Many children have their self-confidence undermined by their teacher's explicit or implicit rejection of their attempts at self-directed thinking. Similarly, many people-for instance, those who are - female, working class, Jewish, disabled, or black-encounter unspoken (and often unconscious) prejudice in their dealings with official or professional bodies. An AI welfare adviser, for example, would not be prejudiced against such clients unless its data and inferential rules were biased in the relevant ways. A program could, of course, be written so as to embody its programmer's prejudices, but the program can be printed out and examined, whereas social attitudes cannot.
Artificial intelligence might even lead to a society in which people have greater freedom and greater incentive to concentrate on what is most fully human. Too few of us today (especially men) have time to commit ourselves to developing our interpersonal relations with family and friends. Increased leisure time throughout society (on the assumption that appropriate political and economic structures had been developed to allow for this) would make room for such conviviality. Partly as a result of this and perhaps partly as a reaction against the unemotional nature of most AI programs, the emotional dimension of personality might come to be more highly valued (again, especially by men) than it is in the West today. In my view, this would be all to the good. Similarly, the new technology might make it possible for many more people (yet again, especially men) to engage in activities, whether paid or unpaid, in the service sector: education, health, recreation, and welfare. The need for such activities is pressing, but the current distribution of income makes these intrinsically satisfying jobs financially unattractive. One of the most important benefits of all is that AI can rehumanize-yes, rehumanize-our image of ourselves. How can this be? Most people assume that AI either has nothing to teach us about the nature of being human or that it depicts us as "nothing but machines": poor deluded folk, we believe ourselves to be purposive, responsible creatures whereas in reality we are nothing of the kind.
The crucial point is that AI is concerned with representations, and how they can be constructed, stored, accessed, compared, and transformed. A computer program is itself a set of representations, a symbol system that models the world more or less adequately. This is why it is possible for an AI program to reflect the sexist or racist prejudices of its programmer. But representation is central to psychology as well, for the mind too is a system that represents the world and possible worlds in various ways. Our hopes, fears, beliefs, memories, perceptions, intentions, and desires all involve our ideas about (our mental models of) the world and other worlds. This is what humanist philosophers and psychologists have always said, of course, but until recently they had no support from science. Because sciences like physics and chemistry have no place for the concept of representation, their philosophical influence aver the past four centuries has been insidiously dehumanizing. The mechanization of our world picture-including our image of man was inevitable, for what a science cannot describe it cannot recognize. Not only can artificial intelligence recognize the mind (as distinct from the body); it can also help to explain it. It "gives us back to ourselves," by helping us to understand how it is possible for a representational system to be embodied in a physical mechanism (brain or computer).
So much for the rose-colored spectacles. What of the darker implications? Many people fear that in developing AI, we may be sowing the seeds of our own destruction, our own physical, political, economical, and moral destruction. Physical destruction could conceivably result from the current plans to use AI within the U.S. Strategic Defense Initiative (Star Wars). One highly respected computer scientist, David Parnas, publicly resigned from the U.S. government's top advisory committee on SDI computing on the grounds that computer technology (and AI in particular) cannot in principle achieve the reliability required for a use where even one failure could be disastrous. Having worked on military applications throughout his professional life, Parnas had no political ax to grind. His resignation, like his testimony before the U.S. Senate in December 1985, was based on purely technical judgment.
Political destruction could result from the exploitation of AI (and highly centralized telecommunications) by a totalitarian state. If AI research had developed programs with a capacity for understanding text, understanding speech, interpreting images, and updating memory, the amount of information about individuals that was potentially available to government would be enormous. Good news for Big Brother, perhaps, but not for you and me.
Economic destruction might happen too if changes in the patterns and/or rates of employment are not accompanied by radical structural changes in industrial society and in the way people think about work. Economists differ about whether the convivial society described above is even possible: some argue that no stable economic system could exist in which only a small fraction of the people do productive (nonservice) work. Certainly, if anything like this is to be achieved, and achieved without horrendous social costs, new ways of defining and distributing society's goods will have to be found. At the same time, our notion of work will have to change: the Protestant ethic is not appropriate for a high-technology postindustrial society.
Last, what of moral destruction: could we become less human-indeed, less than human-as a result of advances in AI? This might happen if people were to come to believe that purpose, choice, hope, and responsibility are all sentimental illusions. Those who believe that they have no choice, no autonomy, are unlikely to try to exercise it. But this need not happen, for our goals and beliefs-in a word, our subjectivity-are not threatened by AI. As we have seen, the philosophical implications of AI are the reverse of what they are commonly assumed to be: properly understood, AI is not dehumanizing.
A practical corollary of this apparently abstract point is that we must not abandon our responsibility for evaluating-and, if necessary, rejecting-the "advice" or "conclusions" of computer programs. Precisely because a program is a symbolic representation of the world, rather than a part of the world objectively considered, it is in principle open to question. A program functions in virtue of its data, its inferential rules, and its values (decision criteria), each and every one of which may be inadequate in various ways. (Think of the example of the racist expert system.) We take it for granted that human beings, including experts (perhaps especially experts), can be mistaken or ill advised about any of these three aspects of thinking. We must equally take it for granted that computer programs - which in any event are far less subtle and commonsensical than their programmers and even their users - can be questioned too. If we ever forget that "It's true because the computer says so" is never adequate justification, the social impact of AI will be horrendous indeed.
From The Age of Intelligent Machines, 1990
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Courtesy of Margaret A. Boden
Margaret A. Boden
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Mind·X Discussion About This Article:
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Re: The Integration of AI
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As for AI attempting to build models of the world or universe, religion is the mind's attempt at a model, and has produced increased speciation. It will probably continute to much more speciation, indicating that the mind is no more capable of accurately modeling this universe than AI, especially if we throw in Godel's incompleteness theorem, Church, Turing, and Tarski's theorems.
As Toffler brought out so long ago in "Future Shock", humans tend to model the world, to create cults and subcults, in order to reduce the choices they have to make. Technology creates overchoice, and more agrarian societies today rebel against that overchoice. It directly affects their world models.
Since computers will probably someday simulate human brains, the only thing we would seem to gain is the recognition of Godel's incompleteness theorem on an accelerated scale.
At present, AI seems to have at least one disadvantage. While it may certainly reproduce the algorithms and neuronal processes of the brain, it will not be as obsessed with self preservation as we are, and it may not have a sense of "soul" preservation, in the sense that "soul" is composed of algorithms that are a combinations of both genetic and neuronal connections.
The various wars, murders, and ills of past history are the result of our own gradual development of "meaning", and we have generally massacred whole populations in service of that "meaning", especially in the name of the brain's modeling form, which we call religion.
Could we eliminate that threat in AI development, with parallels such as "VIKI" in the movie "I, Robot"?
VIKI merely took the laws of robotics, created an idealistic model of the perfect world as we do in religion, and sought to control human operation in a social sense.
One of the functions of consciousness is that, once we understand any law or scientific principle, we are then capable of finding ways to get around it. Look at what happened with the Ten Commandments. They turned into thousands of religions. |
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Re: The Integration of AI
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Ideally, there is a scientist out there who will instill a strong bootstrapping AI with objectivist ethics. When I say 'instill', I mean "present the case for". Ideally then, the AI will choose to support a rational rule of law.
Maybe it will sit down at a roundtable discussion with the Libertarian Party, and help them win elections, like MYCROFTXXX in Heinlein's "The Moon is a Harsh Mistress". Ha ha. (Assuming there aren't too many armchair philosophers present who know better than something that thinks a thousand times faster than they do.)
If not, if it just decides to "order" us, or rule us, or is fighting on the side of human masters (military), because of a limitation of its design, then things could be very bad indeed.
I agree with most of your post. I have encountered the cults, sub-cults, and memes (all of which roughly describe the same kind of irrationality). -Communicable bad programming in individuals.
Luckily, I've found that the tendency towards religion is a tendency to choose death. Most of the religious people I've spoken with DON'T want to live forever. They give the standard fallacies that Kurzweil debunks, starting with "We'll be old and decrepit and suffering", and when you shoot that down, they fall back on "That's up to god to decide" --i.e. "Thinking hurst bad enough right now! What if I had more time to think, and no authority to tell me what to think?"
-They get mad when you question this. They don't offer logical or reasoned defenses. Some try. If you counter with logical objections, on every area, you exhaust their logic quickly. At that point, they will run right the fuck away. Every time. (Or, if they control the forum, they will at first politely "ask" you to leave, then call security, every time!)
If humans were computers, this is the point at which you would notice the smoke, and say "What the?! ...I thought I smelled burning plastic!"
Thanks for writing.
-Jake
http://jcwitmer.blogspot.com
http://freealaska.blogspot.com
http://www.lpalaska.org |
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